Both my native certified teacher from Madrid and ChatGTP agree that this translation is wrong. There's no "might" about it - the neighbors WILL call. There is no nuance here.
Un árbol se ha caído; los vecinos llamarán al ayuntamiento.
A tree has fallen down; the neighbours might [sic] call the council.
Please consider these changes:
"El Futuro Simple, also known as El Futuro Imperfecto, is used when we want to express the probability of something happening in the PRESENT" -- i.e., not the future.
And replace bad (what you call "nuanced") examples with ones that make sense like:
Dónde está Ana?? [i.e., right now, in the present] --Estará en casa. (She's probably at home.)
Quién llama?? [i.e., right now, in the present] --Será Pablo. (It's probably Pablo.)